A conservative model of what operations software is worth to a 5-to-20 truck hauler: about 4% of revenue, and 84% of it in the office, not on the truck.
00 Overview
CurbWaste Whitepaper · FMCSA SAFER Census · Apr 2024 → Aug 2026Every company that puts a garbage truck, roll-off, vac truck or recycling trailer on a public road has to register it with the federal DOT. We pulled the register, kept the 48,091 companies that are unmistakably in the waste business, and compared them with their own records from 28 months earlier. Here is how big everyone else is, who is hiring, who is growing in your state, and how many new competitors showed up. No company is named.
Every figure comes from federal DOT registrations, compared across seven snapshots from April 2024 to August 2026. Pick your state in section 02.
The register describes a market almost nobody pictures when they hear "waste management." Not three national giants, but tens of thousands of owner-operators, family yards and regional independents.
The public conversation about waste is dominated by three public companies and their acquisition announcements. The register tells a different story: four out of five registered waste haulers run four or fewer drivers, and the largest one percent of companies employ a fifth of every driver in the industry. It is a long-tail market with a heavy head, and the two halves are moving in different directions.
Registered intrastate-only. Waste is a local business, and the register proves it: your market is your county, your competitors are the yards within an hour of yours, and a national player's route density three states away does not change your pricing.
Junk trucks, septic pumpers and light-duty dumpster trailers fall under the commercial-license weight threshold. More than a third of the workforce can be hired from the non-CDL pool, which is the single biggest hiring advantage this industry has over freight.
Sample, not population: these 48,091 are the carriers the federal register lets us identify as waste haulers with confidence. Businesses without a DOT number, or whose filing gives no hint of what they haul, are not here. Counts are floors; the rates and shares are the numbers to quote.
Pick your state. Every figure comes from the federal register, and each one is compared with the national line so you can see where your market runs hot or cold.
Growth figures use companies that updated their filing only and are blank for states with fewer than 100 of them. "New since Jan 2024" counts carriers in the sample whose DOT number was issued on or after January 1, 2024. Refuse-collector wage is the BLS OEWS state median for May 2024.
Every DOT number carries its issue date, so the register tells you exactly how many new haulers have entered your state since the start of 2024, and what kind. This is the chart to send to your partner.
Companies report their driver count when they update their federal filing (the MCS-150 form). We compared the 19,031 waste haulers that updated after April 2024 with their own earlier filing. Find your fleet size below: it is the peer group a lender, a buyer or a recruiter would compare you with.
The 1-to-4 band adds the most drivers in absolute terms because it has by far the most companies; its 28.6% net rate is a small-base effect (a two-driver shop hiring one driver is +50%). Only a third of that band refiled, so treat its growth figures as directional.
Among companies that updated their filing, 27% added drivers, 15% cut, and the rest held steady. Net, the industry's driver count grew 10.6% in 28 months, and the middle carried it.
Find your band on the left. At 15 to 50 drivers, 41% of companies your size added drivers and 31% cut, so a fleet that stood still is in the minority. At 51 to 100, more than half grew, the highest share of any band.
Above 100 drivers the pattern flips: more of those fleets cut than added, and the band lost drivers overall. For an independent, that is a hiring opportunity. The drivers leaving the big fleets are experienced, route-trained and CDL-holding, and they are looking in the same states where mid-size haulers are hiring fastest.
A company that did not update its filing between two snapshots reads as unchanged, so the existing-fleet line is a floor. Companies that closed before August 2026 are not in either line.
The same federal snapshots cover every motor carrier in the country. We ran the identical test on all 735,238 that updated their filing. Waste wins on every line, in every fleet-size band.
Pick the business you are in. The register has no "line of business" field, so we sorted companies by the words in their registered names. It is imperfect, but it is the same test applied to every company, and it separates the industry into recognizably different businesses.
| Segment (name keywords) | Carriers | Share | Median fleet | Mean fleet | Registered 2020s | Added drivers | Cut drivers | Net growth |
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Keywords: dumpster/roll-off/container · recycling/scrap · portable/toilet/septic/pump · junk/haul/removal · waste/disposal/sanitation/garbage/refuse/trash/rubbish. A name matching two lists is assigned to the first in this order. "Other" is every carrier whose name contains none of them, typically a surname plus "LLC" or "Trucking"; they were admitted to the universe by cargo flag or website classification.
The biggest surprise in the register is the liquid side: septic and portable-toilet operators outnumber dumpster companies two to one, and they are the smallest businesses in the industry. Growth concentrates in the names that say "waste." Junk removal and dumpster rental are the youngest segments, with well over half of their companies registered in the 2020s.
CurbWaste was built by industry veterans who understand the difficulties of running a waste business firsthand. Dispatch, billing, routing, and asset tracking in one platform, so the 15-to-100 driver haulers doing the hiring in this report can keep growing without adding office headcount.
GET DEMOCalifornia, Florida, Texas, New York and Georgia hold the most registered waste carriers. Per resident, the map flips: Wyoming, Maine and Nebraska have five to six times the carrier density of Illinois or Virginia. Toggle the metric to see each view.
Drivers added by companies that updated their filing, April 2024 to August 2026. Three states shrank. States with too few updated filings are left out of the rankings.
Texas added the most drivers of any state, on a growth rate well above the national line. Illinois, North Carolina, Indiana and Georgia grew fastest among the large states. California added plenty of drivers, but only at the pace of trucking overall.
The shrinking states are a smaller story. Arizona lost drivers despite Phoenix being the most fleet-heavy metro in the country, because it is also home to a dozen fleets over 100 drivers, and that is the band that shed people everywhere. Idaho and Arkansas are the other two.
We tested whether driver growth follows construction. It does not: a state's change in housing permits has no relationship with its driver growth, and neither does population growth. Waste demand follows the homes and businesses that already exist, not the ones being built.
| City | Carriers | Drivers | Mean fleet | Fleets of 15+ |
|---|
Houston has the most registered waste carriers of any city, but Phoenix has the most drivers by a wide margin: 262 carriers running 4,072 drivers, a mean fleet of 15.5, against a national mean of 4.7. Los Angeles and Miami are the opposite, hundreds of carriers averaging fewer than three drivers each.
Every DOT number carries the date it was issued. Counting today's active waste carriers by the year they registered shows a wave of new entrants that started in 2021 and has not crested.
Survivorship shapes this chart: older cohorts have had more years to exit, so early years are understated relative to recent ones. The 2021 step-up against 2016–2019 is only two to five years apart, which survivorship alone does not explain. 2015 shows an isolated spike (3,189 registrations) that does not continue into 2016; we could not attribute it and show 2016 onward.
Carriers registered in the 2020s are 34.1% of companies but 23.0% of drivers. New entrants come in small, and the register's 2 driver median is partly a story about how young the industry's long tail is.
From 2016 through 2019 the register gained roughly 1,500 waste carriers a year that are still active today. Since 2021 it has run above 2,300 a year, and 2025 produced 3,272, the largest cohort on record. Consolidation at the top and formation at the bottom are happening at the same time: the number of companies is not falling, the market is churning, and the churn feeds the middle bands that are doing the hiring.
Sort every company by fleet size and the shape is a long tail with a heavy head. These are the six size bands used throughout this report.
The band that matters most to anyone selling into this industry is the middle. Carriers running 15 to 50 drivers are 4% of companies but nearly a quarter of the drivers, the largest block of labor outside the 1-to-4 tail. At the other end, four in ten registered haulers report exactly one driver: a single roll-off truck, septic pumper or junk box truck with the owner behind the wheel. They are the reason every payroll-based count of this industry comes up tens of thousands short.
Every state on one table: the register, the trucking benchmark, Bureau of Labor Statistics jobs and wages, OSHA injury rates and Census population. Click a column to sort; the six that matter most are shown first.
| State | Carriers | Drivers | Growing % | Driver growth | New since 2024 | Per 100K | Median fleet | All-trucking growth | Reg. 2020s | BLS waste jobs | Refuse collector wage | Injury rate |
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Drivers on the DOT register and BLS waste-collection employment measure different things: the register counts drivers at any registered carrier, including septic, junk and recycling companies; BLS counts payroll employees at establishments coded NAICS 5621 Waste Collection, and excludes owner-operators. Where the register shows more drivers than BLS shows employees, the gap is mostly single-driver businesses BLS never sees. For what drivers and collectors are paid in every state and metro, see our companion report, the Waste Industry Salary Atlas.
CurbWaste was built by industry veterans who understand the difficulties of running a waste business firsthand. Dispatch, billing, routing, and asset tracking in one platform, so your team spends less time in windshield chaos and more time running profitable routes.
GET DEMOMeet the team to learn more about why CurbWaste waste management software has become the trusted partner for waste hauling businesses nationally.